Skip to main content

ELI5 - Why Cut Interest Rates?

U.s. Dollar Banknote Lot

In the midst of market downturns, there's always a huge push for central banks to cut interest rates. Today we'll break down how interest rates work and their impact on the economy.

Banks Borrowing From Banks

It seems like rival banks are always taking jabs at each other. Trying to lure away customers and gain market share. Despite their competitive nature, there's a fair amount of collaboration that happens in the background. 

Collectively banks play a vital role in supporting our financial system. Confidence in banking is good for everyone. A lack of confidence can spell trouble for all. 

Liquidity risk is something all banks face. The need for cash can vary wildly from day-to-day. Having more business than expected can leave you with a shortage, having less can leave you with a surplus. 

To balance out the money supply, banks lend and borrow from each other. Those with shortages borrowing from those with surpluses. 

The Overnight Market And Overnight Rate

When banks borrow from each other, they do so in the overnight market. The name stems from their super-short loan periods. Loans usually happen at the start of a business day and are repaid before the start of the next business day (hence, overnight). 

These loans are made at the aptly named overnight rate, the lowest rate a bank can lend money for. This rate is set by central banks. In the US, it's officially referred to as the federal funds rate, and in Canada, the policy interest rate

How Do These Rates Impact The Economy?

The higher the rate, the harder it is to borrow money, money becomes expensive. With high rates, banks borrow less and have less cash on hand. The scarcity prompts banks to charge more for loans. Mortgages, credit cards and car loans all get pricier. Consumers faced with higher costs will typically borrow and spend less. 

Scarcity also incentivize banks to pay more for deposits. Meaning higher interest rates on savings accounts, encouraging more saving and less spending. 

On the other hand, lower interest rates means cheap money. Banks will borrow more and have a larger cash supply. This abundance means they're willing to charge less for loans, encouraging consumers to borrow and spend more. 

The surplus of cash also mean banks are willing to pay less for deposits. Leading to lower interest rates on savings accounts, encouraging less saving and even more spending. 

Conclusion

Lower rates encourage spending and help give a boost to the economy in times of need, but this should be done with caution. Keeping rates too low for too long can be dangerous. Low rates mean cheap money and cheap money means inflation. Letting inflation get out of control will destroy a currency's purchasing power and integrity. 

Cheap money also encourages risky behaviour. With a low cost of borrowing, people are willing to take more chances, such as using leverage for risky investments. A high level of risk is unsustainable, eventually a price will need to be paid. 

Like everything else, when it comes to setting interest rates, balance is key.














Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Today's Special: Humble Pie

You champion a project, fight for an idea, and then...reality sets in. That churning in your stomach isn't butterflies, it's the realization you've missed the mark.  Pride will puff up your chest, and kick in the "defend at all costs" instinct. But arguing with the umpire never changed a call. Admitting you're wrong isn't a sign of weakness. It can strengthen your professional standing. In a world obsessed with the illusion of infallibility, the courage to adjust course is a breath of fresh air. It shows you're confident enough to be wrong, and adaptable enough to learn from it. Do your research, think critically, and stand behind your decisions. But when the data whispers (or screams) otherwise, don't be afraid to swallow that slice of humble pie. Be the first to acknowledge. Don't wait for someone to point out your mistake. Be open, take responsibility, and most importantly, focus on what you're going to do to address it. Don't dwell ...

Starting Really Really Small

On your desk is one of the most intimidating sights known to man. A blank page. The prospect of filling it up with anything resembling decent seems insurmountable. Staring at the long road ahead fills you with anxiety and dread.  The first step is the most difficult. So we procrastinate. We " research ", we " prep ", we " plan ". We do everything except tackling the problem. We avoid the pain for as long as we can.  To make a blank page less intimidating. Tear it in half. There, half as scary, twice as easy. Still too much? Do it again. And again. Keep doing it until the task is so small that it's too easy not to do.  Getting starting is the hardest part. So make the hardest part as easy as possible. This doesn't guarantee amazing results, but it gets you in the game. You can't win if you don't play.  

When Perfect Becomes a Problem: The iCar Story

Let's talk about Apple's iCar, or rather, the ghost of it. A decade. Ten billion dollars. Poof. Gone. Like a puff of smoke from a dream that never quite woke up. They wanted to launch a revolution, a fully-formed, flawless chariot. But revolutions aren't born in secret labs; they're forged in the messy, chaotic crucible of the real world. You don't build a movement by hiding in the shadows. You don't create a product people love by ignoring them. You don't change the world by waiting for perfection. It's about the minimum viable. It's about shipping early, shipping often, and listening—really listening—to the people you're trying to serve. Apple built a cathedral of secrecy. A monument to what might have been. And then, they tore it down.  They spent billions on a dream, while ignoring the simple truth: the market doesn't care about your dreams. It cares about solutions. It cares about things that work. So, here's the lesson: stop chasing...